Wednesday 29 September 2010

EUR/USD Week 5

1st Trade
Double Divergence between AO and Price
Bearish Divergence Bar
Enter Sell @ 1.3603
Stop Loss @ 1.3641 (one tick above bdb high)

Still have to be careful though, 4 hour chart, still wave 3, not a wave 5. So im trading a possible abc correction of wave 4..

We'll see wat happen... :)







Close 1st Trade & 2nd Trade

my stop loss was hit, total loss of 38 pips

re-enter wiseman 2 sell @ 1.3594

hmm.. strong up trend indeed...





Close 2nd Trade
Another cut loss, total loss of 41 pips..

a strong wave 3 indeed..

oh well, let's just wait until it breaks the trend line.






i'm getting busy, so no more intraday trading for now, move to day trade, well bill william said his system works best at day trade, let's see wat happen...

Friday 17 September 2010

EUR/USD Week 3

1st Trade
Sell at 1.0365

Break down fractal (wiseman 3)













Close 1st trade and 2nd Trade
Close at 3074 (previous five bar high), total loss of 9 pips..

Buy at 1.3086 (Break fractal up), Stop loss at 1.3065 (previous five bar low)











Close 2nd Trade

Close 1.0375, total loss of 11 pips..

hmm... looks like a wave B...

Monday 13 September 2010

NZD/USD Week 3

1st Trade
4 hour chart: Wave 3, BDB, AO divergence
Hourly chart: Wave 5, BDB, AO divergence
15 min chart: Wave 5, BDB, AO divergence

so we're in wave 5:5:3, entering wave 4 abc correction..
possible target 0.7140-0.7183 (38.2 - 50 % fib retracement of wave 3)

Sell @ 0.7302 (BDB), Protective Stop Loss @ 0.7321 (one tick above BDB high)





2nd Trade


Enter wiseman 2

Sell @ 0.7291, Protective Stop Loss @ 0.7318

Let's try using reverse pyramiding (look at trading chaos 2nd Edition)








Close 1st and 2nd Trade
hit my stop loss
1st trade total loss is 16 pips

2nd trade total loss is 27 pips x 3 lots = 81 pips













3rd Trade
Another Bearish Divergent Bar

Sell at 0.7315, Stop Loss at 0.7344









4th Trade

Wiseman 2

Sell at 0.7314, Stop Loss at 0.7344







Close my 3rd and 4th Trade

Hit my stop loss

3rd trade total loss is 29 pips
4th trade total loss is 30 pips x 3 lots = 60 pips











5th Trade

Break down fractal
Sell at 0.7286

Let's use previous five bar high to protect the loss..

Ride the trend with trailing stop.









Close 5th Trade

stop loss was hit
total loss of 10 pips












Chart Update (no position)

Always put your protective stop loss :)

careful next time when trade wave 3 to wave 4

now which elliot wave, no idea hehe, wait for the market to chill... :)

AUD/USD Week 3

1st Trade
a wave 5 of 3, entering abc correction or wave 4 (4 hour chart), ok totally forgot the 15 min chart, it looks like wave 5 of 3 is not ending yet, it's possible that Aud still goin up...

anyway already sold @ 0.9323 (bdb), protective stop loss @ 0.9323 (one tick above bdb high)...

Target: Closing the gap







Close 1st Trade
 
hit my stop loss (previous 5 bars high), total loss 15 pips













2nd Trade

15 min chart ao and price divergence now, a possible end of wave 5:3, entering abc correction wave 4.. we'll see...

Another bearish divergent bar
Sell at 0.9328, Stop Loss at 0.9338









Close 2nd Trade

stop loss was hit again, total loss of 10 pips

strong up trend indeed

no worries, i believe the trend will end soon :)





3rd Trade
Break down fractal

Sell at 0.9323








Close 3rd Trade

hit stop loss (previous five bar high)
total loss of 24 pips








Chart Update (no position)

this chart reminds me to always protect my loss...

new zealand and australia, strong up trend indeed...

didn't see the up fractal breakout there, a saddle point as well... :(
just missed an opportunity, no worries, there'll be plenty of opportunities, for now just wait and see...a possible bearish divergent bar there...

Monday 6 September 2010

EUR/USD Week 2

1st Trade
a 5 wave up is about to end, entering abc correction

Sell at 1.2897

Waiting for Wiseman 3 to add position
put a sell stop at 1.2870




2nd Trade

My sell stop was hit

Enter wiseman 3, Sell at 1.2870








3rd Trade

Forgot about wiseman 2, didn't see it...

Enter wiseman 2, Sell at 1.2872








Close 1st and 3rd Trade
Bullish divergent bar
Sell at 1.2897, Closed at 1.2819 (profit 78 pips)
Sell at 1.2872, Closed at 1.2819 (profit 53 pips)

Still holding one position for trend following, my target has reached though.. but we'll see, i'm using red and green line stop for this one..

Small profit or big jackpot :)


2nd Trade Update (hold position)

"Let your profit run, just follow the trend"

If you look at the chart, wouldn't you be tempted to take the profit (117 pips) hehe... Anyway let's try to follow the trend this time, we'll see wat happen

Like i said, Small profit or hit the jackpot!!! :)









Close 2nd Trade

Sell at 1.2870, Close at 1.2750 (profit 120 pips)

bullish divergent bar, hmm not that convincing though. oh well closed it anyway, next time i'll try using the red and green line stop... we'll see what happen next...




Euro Elliot Wave Count


Looks like the 5 wave up on the hourly chart is a wave c of B. Hmm tat means i wasn't trading on abc correction (retrace more than 62 percent fibonacci), more likely wave 1 of C... So Euro still goin down??? i think so...

now it's 1.2706, Trend is your friend indeed...



4th Trade
alright 15 min chart' momentum is decreasing, there's a bullish divergent bar, hopefully my wave count correct, the beginning of wave 2 of C..

Buy at 1.2716, put a tight stop just one tick below bdb bar at 1.2697

well it's an aggressive entry using 15 min bdb. On the hourly chart bdb is just starting to develop still have to wait 10 min before the next bar open..

Close 4th Trade

My Stop Loss got hit, total loss is 19 pips










5th Trade

ok let's try it again, beginning of wave 2???

Wiseman 2
Buy at 1.2694, Stop loss at 1.2675







Close 5th Trade

hit my stop loss again, total loss 19 pips

always put a tight stop when trade the corrective wave..






6th Trade

Bullish divergent bar, buy at 1.2696

I suspect it's the end of wave b, and the beginning of wave c. i might be wrong, but i got my stop loss, one tick below the bdb at 1.2663





Close 6th Trade

Close at 1.2728, total profit of 32 pips

US Trade balance and unemployment data just came out, better than expected, dunno how the market will react, so I'm out first to see what happen.










7th Trade

Bearish divergent bar, let's try this one
Sell at 1.2734

it could be the end of wave c, entering wave 3...
don't know yet...

Stop Loss just one tick above bdb high at 1.2769



8th Trade

Let's try adding on position

Wiseman 3 (break down fractal below the red line)
Sell at 1.2712












9th Trade

Wiseman 2, add more position
Sell at 1.2685

Trailing Stop
move stop for 7th and 8th trade to 1.2711






Close 9th Trade
Close at 1.2679, total profit 6 pips
should've closed this position one tick above the bullish divergent bar high (20 pips), but there's connection problem :(

ohh well, still have 2 position, should've close this too but it's too late now, better hold, anyway it's just a couple pips to my next stop loss at 1.2681, why not take the risk :)


Close 7th and 8th Trade
hit my stop loss
7th trade profit is 39 pips
8th trade profit is 17 pips

total of 56 pips profit

Wednesday 1 September 2010

USD/CAD Week 1

1st Trade

















<---- This is the hourly chart












Close my 1st trade

A total profit of 91 pips :)

Reason: price move too fast, to far away from the alligator, better get out first...